Tier 1 · Robust · Bot-Ready · Recommended for $1-$2 Live Testing

Robust Strategies — 7 Combined Bot-Ready Groups

Up + Down strategies that share the identical filter (time × price × notional × whale) have been merged into one bot-ready candidate. The summary table is the main view; full per-group cards are below (click to expand).

Combined Groups
7
from 11 side-level robust strategies
Matched Trades (sum)
13,467
across all sides
Exact Net Profit (sum)
$238,032
on $100 per trade · backtest
Markets Touched (sum)
2,850
across all 7 groups & both sides
Common values across these 7 robust strategies — these values are identical across every row in the table below, so they have been pulled out to keep the comparison columns short.
Position size assumption
$100 per trade
Exit rule
Hold to 300s expiry (no early sell)
One-trade-per-market rule
Yes — only the first matching trade per market is taken
Min notional
$50+
Future-data leakage check
PASS — entry uses only trade events at or before t
Live-execution check
PASS — bot can read public trade tape live
Breakeven trades
0
Concentration risk
LOW (≤ 6 t/mkt)

Robust Comparison Table

Only the columns that vary across strategies are shown. Common values (above) are pulled out so the comparison row remains compact. Scroll horizontally on small screens; the first column stays sticky.

# Combined name Applies to Entry time Price range Min notional Whale 1-per-market Markets Trades Wins Net profit Avg / trade Best 10-trd batch Worst 10-trd batch Min 10-mkt batch Concentration Live priority Bot entry rule
R1
Group R1
sfs [60,120) · price [0.80,0.85)
 Down only sfs [60,120) sec [0.80, 0.85) $50+ Any Yes — first only 249 1,021 1,021 $21,966 $21.51 $241 $194 $205 LOW High BUY Down at [0.80,0.85) in sfs [60,120), n≥$50; hold 300s
R2
Group R2
sfs [60,120) · price [0.80,0.90) · whale
 Up only sfs [60,120) sec [0.80, 0.90) $50+ Top-50 Yes — first only 271 1,043 1,043 $18,439 $17.68 $224 $134 $175 LOW High BUY Up at [0.80,0.90) in sfs [60,120), n≥$50, whale; hold 300s
R3
Group R3
sfs [0,120) · price [0.80,0.90) · whale
 BOTH sfs [0,120) sec [0.80, 0.90) $50+ Top-50 Yes — first only 531 2,220 2,220 $39,463 $17.78 $229 $132 $174 LOW High BUY Down/Up at [0.80,0.90) in sfs [0,120), n≥$50, whale; hold 300s
R4
Group R4
sfs [0,120) · price [0.85,0.90)
 Down only sfs [0,120) sec [0.85, 0.90) $50+ Any Yes — first only 226 1,296 1,296 $18,998 $14.66 $170 $128 $146 LOW High BUY Down at [0.85,0.90) in sfs [0,120), n≥$50; hold 300s
R5
Group R5
sfs [60,120) · price [0.85,0.90)
 BOTH sfs [60,120) sec [0.85, 0.90) $50+ Any Yes — first only 467 2,643 2,643 $38,605 $14.61 $170 $117 $144 LOW High BUY Down/Up at [0.85,0.90) in sfs [60,120), n≥$50; hold 300s
R6
Group R6
sfs [0,120) · price [0.80,0.85)
 BOTH sfs [0,120) sec [0.80, 0.85) $50+ Any Yes — first only 535 2,243 2,242 $48,206 $21.49 $241 $90 $104 LOW High BUY Down/Up at [0.80,0.85) in sfs [0,120), n≥$50; hold 300s
R7
Group R7
sfs [90,120) · price [0.80,0.90)
 BOTH sfs [90,120) sec [0.80, 0.90) $50+ Any Yes — first only 571 3,001 3,000 $52,354 $17.45 $232 $51 $75 LOW High BUY Down/Up at [0.80,0.90) in sfs [90,120), n≥$50; hold 300s

Full Strategy Detail Cards (click to expand)

Each card carries the full spec grid, exact PnL block, per-side breakdown, and Bot Entry / Exit / Skip / Logging rules. Cards are collapsed by default — tap or click the header to open.

ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R1 Priority: High
BUY Down @ [0.80,0.85) sfs[60,120) n≥$50 ▾
BUY Down when a public BUY trade hits [0.80,0.85) inside seconds [60,120), notional ≥ $50; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Down: #10 final · #76 PF · #76 WR · #76 loss · #36 best10 · #2 cons
DownSide(s) — bot fires on either
[60, 120) secEntry time window
[0.80, 0.85)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Any walletWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
249Matched markets
1,021Matched trades
4.10Trades per market
100.00%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$240.8Best 10-trade batch
$194.2Worst 10-trade batch
0 lossesMax loss streak
$0Drawdown ($)
LOW (4.1 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$205Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
1,021Matched trades
1,021Winning trades
0Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$21,966.26Gross profit
$0.00Gross loss
$21,966.26Net profit
$21.5145Avg net / trade
$21.5145Avg / winner
$0.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down S548ac99f34 1,021 1,021 0 $21,966.26 $0.00 $21,966.26 $21.5145
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 249 markets (avg 4.1 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $205 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.80,0.85) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down, price in [0.80, 0.85), seconds_from_start in [60, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price. Only the Down side qualifies; counter side (Up) did not pass robustness and must be ignored.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.80,0.85) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R2 Priority: High
BUY Up @ [0.80,0.90) sfs[60,120) n≥$50 WHALE ▾
BUY Up when a public BUY trade hits [0.80,0.90) inside seconds [60,120), notional ≥ $50 WHALE-only; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Up: #22 final · #35 PF · #35 WR · #35 loss · #48 best10 · #12 cons
UpSide(s) — bot fires on either
[60, 120) secEntry time window
[0.80, 0.90)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Top-50 wallet onlyWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
271Matched markets
1,043Matched trades
3.85Trades per market
100.00%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$224.0Best 10-trade batch
$133.9Worst 10-trade batch
0 lossesMax loss streak
$0Drawdown ($)
LOW (3.9 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$175Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
1,043Matched trades
1,043Winning trades
0Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$18,439.25Gross profit
$0.00Gross loss
$18,439.25Net profit
$17.6790Avg net / trade
$17.6790Avg / winner
$0.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Up Se5c50ba630 1,043 1,043 0 $18,439.25 $0.00 $18,439.25 $17.6790
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 271 markets (avg 3.9 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $175 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.80,0.90) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Up, price in [0.80, 0.90), seconds_from_start in [60, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 AND the trade is by a top-50 wallet — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price. Only the Up side qualifies; counter side (Down) did not pass robustness and must be ignored.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.80,0.90) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R3 Priority: High
BUY Down/Up @ [0.80,0.90) sfs[0,120) n≥$50 WHALE ▾
BUY Down/Up when a public BUY trade hits [0.80,0.90) inside seconds [0,120), notional ≥ $50 WHALE-only; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Up: #24 final · #51 PF · #51 WR · #51 loss · #46 best10 · #13 consDown: #17 final · #94 PF · #94 WR · #94 loss · #45 best10 · #11 cons
Down/UpSide(s) — bot fires on either
[0, 120) secEntry time window
[0.80, 0.90)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Top-50 wallet onlyWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
531Matched markets
2,220Matched trades
4.18Trades per market
100.00%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$229.0Best 10-trade batch
$132.0Worst 10-trade batch
0 lossesMax loss streak
$0Drawdown ($)
LOW (4.2 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$174Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
2,220Matched trades
2,220Winning trades
0Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$39,462.87Gross profit
$0.00Gross loss
$39,462.87Net profit
$17.7761Avg net / trade
$17.7761Avg / winner
$0.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down S7768dfdd15 1,068 1,068 0 $19,084.90 $0.00 $19,084.90 $17.8698
Up S8e65c5d5bb 1,152 1,152 0 $20,377.96 $0.00 $20,377.96 $17.6892
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 531 markets (avg 4.2 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $174 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.80,0.90) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down/Up, price in [0.80, 0.90), seconds_from_start in [0, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 AND the trade is by a top-50 wallet — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.80,0.90) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R4 Priority: High
BUY Down @ [0.85,0.90) sfs[0,120) n≥$50 ▾
BUY Down when a public BUY trade hits [0.85,0.90) inside seconds [0,120), notional ≥ $50; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Down: #40 final · #89 PF · #89 WR · #89 loss · #73 best10 · #15 cons
DownSide(s) — bot fires on either
[0, 120) secEntry time window
[0.85, 0.90)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Any walletWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
226Matched markets
1,296Matched trades
5.73Trades per market
100.00%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$169.8Best 10-trade batch
$127.5Worst 10-trade batch
0 lossesMax loss streak
$0Drawdown ($)
LOW (5.7 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$146Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
1,296Matched trades
1,296Winning trades
0Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$18,998.26Gross profit
$0.00Gross loss
$18,998.26Net profit
$14.6591Avg net / trade
$14.6591Avg / winner
$0.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down Sf8c4291e02 1,296 1,296 0 $18,998.26 $0.00 $18,998.26 $14.6591
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 226 markets (avg 5.7 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $146 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.85,0.90) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down, price in [0.85, 0.90), seconds_from_start in [0, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price. Only the Down side qualifies; counter side (Up) did not pass robustness and must be ignored.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.85,0.90) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R5 Priority: High
BUY Down/Up @ [0.85,0.90) sfs[60,120) n≥$50 ▾
BUY Down/Up when a public BUY trade hits [0.85,0.90) inside seconds [60,120), notional ≥ $50; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Up: #47 final · #31 PF · #31 WR · #31 loss · #74 best10 · #36 consDown: #45 final · #78 PF · #78 WR · #78 loss · #75 best10 · #25 cons
Down/UpSide(s) — bot fires on either
[60, 120) secEntry time window
[0.85, 0.90)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Any walletWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
467Matched markets
2,643Matched trades
5.65Trades per market
100.00%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$169.6Best 10-trade batch
$117.4Worst 10-trade batch
0 lossesMax loss streak
$0Drawdown ($)
LOW (5.7 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$144Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
2,643Matched trades
2,643Winning trades
0Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$38,605.38Gross profit
$0.00Gross loss
$38,605.38Net profit
$14.6067Avg net / trade
$14.6067Avg / winner
$0.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down Sc7e172a1f5 1,228 1,228 0 $17,930.13 $0.00 $17,930.13 $14.6011
Up S3852308efd 1,415 1,415 0 $20,675.25 $0.00 $20,675.25 $14.6115
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 467 markets (avg 5.7 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $144 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.85,0.90) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down/Up, price in [0.85, 0.90), seconds_from_start in [60, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.85,0.90) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R6 Priority: High
BUY Down/Up @ [0.80,0.85) sfs[0,120) n≥$50 ▾
BUY Down/Up when a public BUY trade hits [0.80,0.85) inside seconds [0,120), notional ≥ $50; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Up: #99 final · #104 PF · #104 WR · #98 loss · #40 best10 · #42 consDown: #11 final · #87 PF · #87 WR · #87 loss · #37 best10 · #3 cons
Down/UpSide(s) — bot fires on either
[0, 120) secEntry time window
[0.80, 0.85)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Any walletWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
535Matched markets
2,243Matched trades
4.19Trades per market
99.96%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$240.8Best 10-trade batch
$90.1Worst 10-trade batch
1 lossesMax loss streak
$100Drawdown ($)
LOW (4.2 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$104Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
2,243Matched trades
2,242Winning trades
1Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$48,305.95Gross profit
$-100.00Gross loss
$48,205.95Net profit
$21.4917Avg net / trade
$21.5459Avg / winner
$-100.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down S9f41ce5570 1,132 1,132 0 $24,351.50 $0.00 $24,351.50 $21.5119
Up S8cdc7620c1 1,111 1,110 1 $23,954.45 $-100.00 $23,854.45 $21.4712
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 535 markets (avg 4.2 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $104 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.80,0.85) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down/Up, price in [0.80, 0.85), seconds_from_start in [0, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.80,0.85) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.
ROBUST · BOT-READY Group R7 Priority: High
BUY Down/Up @ [0.80,0.90) sfs[90,120) n≥$50 ▾
BUY Down/Up when a public BUY trade hits [0.80,0.90) inside seconds [90,120), notional ≥ $50; place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side+price; hold to 300s expiry.
Up: #102 final · #103 PF · #103 WR · #96 loss · #47 best10 · #63 consDown: #28 final · #72 PF · #72 WR · #72 loss · #43 best10 · #14 cons
Down/UpSide(s) — bot fires on either
[90, 120) secEntry time window
[0.80, 0.90)Entry price band
$50+Min trade notional
Any walletWhale gate
Hold to 300s expiryExit rule
571Matched markets
3,001Matched trades
5.25Trades per market
99.97%Win rate (combined)
1000000000000000000.00Profit factor (max side)
$232.1Best 10-trade batch
$51.5Worst 10-trade batch
1 lossesMax loss streak
$100Drawdown ($)
LOW (5.2 t/mkt)Concentration risk
16/16Consistency days
$75Min 10-MARKET batch
EXACT BACKTEST PROFIT ON $100 PER TRADE (direct SQL sum of every matched trade — not approximated)
3,001Matched trades
3,000Winning trades
1Losing trades
0Breakeven trades
$52,454.43Gross profit
$-100.00Gross loss
$52,354.43Net profit
$17.4457Avg net / trade
$17.4848Avg / winner
$-100.0000Avg / loser
Hinglish: Exact Total Net Profit = Database me is strategy ke andar jitne matched trades mile, un sab trades ka actual backtest PnL add karke final profit/loss nikala gaya. Ye approximate nahi hai.

Per-side breakdown

SideStrategy IDMatchedWinsLosses Gross ProfitGross LossNetAvg / Trade
Down Sae892a249c 1,417 1,417 0 $25,090.07 $0.00 $25,090.07 $17.7065
Up Sa52b9c79ba 1,584 1,583 1 $27,364.36 $-100.00 $27,264.36 $17.2123
Why this strategy is good: Edge wide and well-distributed across 571 markets (avg 5.2 trades/market). Worst 10-MARKET independent batch nets $75 on $100 size.
What is not perfect: Sample period is only 16 days. Statistical band on the per-market win rate is ±5-8% with a few hundred markets per side.
Watch carefully: Skip the entry if the price band [0.80,0.90) is reached only AFTER sfs=120s. Stop on macro-news minutes (FOMC, CPI). Stop the strategy if live per-market win rate drops below 85%.
Bot Entry Rule:
When a public BUY trade appears with side Down/Up, price in [0.80, 0.90), seconds_from_start in [90, 120), trade_notional ≥ $50 — place ONE $1-$2 BUY for the same side at the same price.
Bot Exit Rule:
Hold to 300s market resolution (no early sell, no stop-loss, no take-profit ladder).
Bot Skip Rule:
Skip if (1) the price band [0.80,0.90) is hit only AFTER sfs=120s, (2) the bot has already entered this market for this strategy (one entry per market), (3) BTC realised volatility (last hour) is more than 3× its 7-day average, (4) market liquidity is below $1,000 visible on the entry side of the order book.
Bot Logging:
Persist (ts_utc, market_slug, side, trigger_price, trigger_notional, our_$_size, sfs_at_entry, market_final_result, realised_pnl_on_$1, realised_pnl_on_$2) to a CSV. Aggregate weekly: win-rate, avg PnL per entry, max drawdown since live-test start.